2007 Bali Climate Declaration and the (minor itty-bitty) pretenders’ cover

December 23, 2007 at 1:13 pm | Posted in Climate change, Climate science, Media, Policies, Politics, PR, Unbalanced | 1 Comment

Earlier this month, the world was presented with, yet seemed to remain rather unaware of, this clear 2007 Bali Climate Declaration by Scientists, hereafter referred to as ‘the Declaration’ (except where it makes more sense to write its title in complete form).

My post titled 2007 Bali Climate Declaration by Scientists (in 10 languages) was an attempt to bring news of this to a wider audience, i.e. beyond myself ;-) and way beyond the “English is all I speak—LET ME YELL THAT ONE MORE TIME TO MAKE YOU UNDERSTAND” world. Here’s my post in full, again, to save you hopping back-and-forth, because I am going to give you a little more to digest after this:

This 2007 Bali Climate Declaration by Scientists was released today yesterday, 5 December 2007. It is a clear, straightforward statement, suitable for students, chief climate negotiators and policymakers to digest easily, and is available in Arabic, Bengali, Chinese, French, Hindi,Indonesian, Portugese, Russian, Spanish, and English—with scientists’ signatures listed on the English webpage.

Here it is, taken straight from that first link:

2007 Bali Climate Declaration by Scientists

This consensus document was prepared under the auspices of the Climate Change Research Centre at the University of New South Wales in Sydney, Australia.


The 2007 IPCC report, compiled by several hundred climate scientists, has unequivocally concluded that our climate is warming rapidly, and that we are now at least 90% certain that this is mostly due to human activities. The amount of carbon dioxide in our atmosphere now far exceeds the natural range of the past 650,000 years, and it is rising very quickly due to human activity. If this trend is not halted soon, many millions of people will be at risk from extreme events such as heat waves, drought, floods and storms, our coasts and cities will be threatened by rising sea levels, and many ecosystems, plants and animal species will be in serious danger of extinction.

The next round of focused negotiations for a new global climate treaty (within the 1992 UNFCCC process) needs to begin in December 2007 and be completed by 2009. The prime goal of this new regime must be to limit global warming to no more than 2 ºC above the pre-industrial temperature, a limit that has already been formally adopted by the European Union and a number of other countries.

Based on current scientific understanding, this requires that global greenhouse gas emissions need to be reduced by at least 50% below their 1990 levels by the year 2050. In the long run, greenhouse gas concentrations need to be stabilised at a level well below 450 ppm (parts per million; measured in CO2-equivalent concentration). In order to stay below 2 ºC, global emissions must peak and decline in the next 10 to 15 years, so there is no time to lose.

As scientists, we urge the negotiators to reach an agreement that takes these targets as a minimum requirement for a fair and effective global climate agreement.


Bali Declaration translations: Arabic Bengali Chinese French Hindi Indonesian Portugese Russian Spanish


Media release information Press conference information


The 2007 Bali Climate Declaration has been signed by the following scientists:

Name Title Country
Richard Allan Dr United Kingdom
Richard Anthes Dr USA
Waleed Abdalati Head, Cryospheric Sciences Branch USA
Becky Alexander Assistant Professor USA
Ian Allison Dr Australia
Caspar Ammann Research Scientist USA
Leif Anderson Professor Sweden
Jean-Claude Andre Dr France
Natalie Andronova Research Scientist USA
David Archer Professor University of Chicago USA
Mike Archer Professor. Dean of Science Australia
Vincenzo Artale Senior Research Scientist Italy
Paulo Artaxo Professor Brazil
Karen Assmann Dr Norway
Dorothee Bakker Dr United Kingdom
Edouard Bard Professor College de France France
Tim Barnett Research Marine Physicist USA
J. Ray Bates Professor Ireland
Richard Bellerby Dr Norway
Rasmus E. Benestad Dr Norway
Terje Berntsen Senior Scientist Norway
Nathan Bindoff Professor Physical Oceanography Australia
Robert Bindschadler Chief Scientist, Hydrospheric/Biospheric Laboratory USA
Roxana Bojariu Head, Climate Research Group Romania
Sandrine Bony Research Scientist France
Laurent Bopp Dr France
Alberto Borges Dr Belgium
Philippe Bousquet Assistant Professor France
Pascale Braconnot Dr France
Raymond S. Bradley Professor. Director. Climate System Research Center USA
Guy Brasseur Senior Scientist USA
Francois-Marie Breon Professor France
Christopher Bretherton Director. Program on Climate Change USA
Victor Brovkin Dr Germany
Erik Buitenhuis Dr United Kingdom
Pep Canadell Executive Director Global Carbon Project Australia
Mark Cane Professor USA
Carlo Carraro Professor Italy
Anny Cazenave Senior Scientist France
Marie-Lise Chanin Director of Research Emeritus France
Sylvie Charbit Dr France
Robert J. Charlson Professor USA
John Church Chief Research Scientist Australia
Garry Clarke Emeritus Professor of Geophysics Canada
Martin Claussen Professor. Director. Max Planck Inst. Germany
William D. Collins Professor and Senior Scientist USA
Paul Crutzen Professor Germany/USA
Kurt M. Cuffey Professor USA
Valerie Daux Dr France
Anthony Del Genio Physical Scientist USA
Kenneth Denman Senior Scientist Canada
Robert E. Dickinson Professor USA
Paul Dirmeyer Research Scientist USA
Helge Drange Professor Norway
Kerry Emanuel Professor USA
Matthew England Professor and ARC Federation Fellow Australia
Ian Enting Professor Australia
Jean-Louis Fellous Earth observation satellite expert France
Jonathan Fink Director. Global Institute of Sustainability USA
Andreas Fischlin Director Terrestrial Systems Ecology. ETH Zurich Switzerland
Jacqueline Flückiger Research Scientist Switzerland
Chris E. Forest Research Scientist USA
Piers Forster Reader in Climate Change Physics UK
Joos Fortunat Professor Switzerland
Roger Francey Senior Scientist Australia
Helen Amanda Fricker Associate Research Geophysicist USA
Pierre Friedlingstein Dr France
Andrew D. Friend Dr United Kingdom
Qiang Fu Professor USA
Andrey Ganopolski Scientist Germany
Catherine Gautier Professor USA
Alexander Gershunov Research Climatologist USA
Sarah Gille Associate Professor USA
Nathan Gillet Dr UK
Valerie Gros Dr France
Nicolas Gruber Professor Switzerland
Hoshin Gupta Professor USA
Kimio Hanawa Professor Japan
Bogi Hansen Professor Faroe Islands
Mohamed H.A. Hassan Professor Italy
Klaus Hasselmann Prof. Emeritus Germany
Gerald Haug Professor Switzerland
Didier Hauglustaine Directeur de Recherche CNRS France
A. D. J. Haymet Professor USA
Gabriele Hegerl Dr and Reader Geosciences UK,USA
Martin Heimann Professor. Director. Max-Planck-Inst. Germany
Christoph Heinze Professor in Chemical Oceanography Norway
Ann Henderson-Sellers Professor Australia
Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen Head of Climate Research Programme Denmark
Bruce Hewitson Professor South Africa
Kip Hodges Director. School of Earth & Space Exploration United States
Georg Hoffman Dr France
Marika Holland Scientist USA
David M Holland Professor USA
Elisabeth A. Holland Senior Scientist, National Centre for Atmospheric Research USA
Greg Holland Senior Scientist Severe Weather Research and Applications USA
Lesley Hughes Professor Australia
James W. Hurrell Senior Scientist USA
Stan Jacobs Senior Research Scientist USA
Eystein Jansen Professor. Director Norway
Truls Johannessen Professor of Chemical Oceanography Norway
Ian Joughin Senior Engineer USA
Masa Kageyama Dr France
Robert Kandel Emeritus Senior Scientist France
Georg Kaser Professor Austria
Ralph Keeling Professor of Geochemistry USA
Robert M. Key Research Oceanographer United States
Jeffrey Kiehl Senior Scientist USA
Miko Kirschbaum Senior Scientist New Zealand
Christine Klaas Dr Germany
Albert Klein Tank Dr Netherlands
Reto Knutti Professor Switzerland
Rupa Kumar Kolli Dr India
René Laprise Professor. Director ESCER Centre Canada
Corinne Le Quere Professor United Kingdom
Herve Le Treut Director. Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique France
Peter Lemke Professor Germany
Conway Leovy Professor Emeritus USA
Sydney Levitus Director. World Data Center for Oceanography USA
Ulrike Lohmann Professor Switzerland
Diana Liverman Professor United Kingdom
Dan Lubin Research Physicist USA
Joachim Luther Professor Germany
Amanda H. Lynch Professor and ARC Federation Fellow Australia
Jose Antonio Marengo Senior Scientist Brazil
Jochem Marotzke Professor. Director. Max Planck Inst. Germany
Valerie Masson-Delmotte Dr France
Ben Matthews Dr Belgium
Cecilie Mauritzen Senior Scientist Norway
Bryant McAvaney Senior Principal Research Scientist Australia
James J. McCarthy Professor of Oceanography USA
Jeffrey J. McDonnell Professor and Richardson Chair in Watershed Science USA
Trevor J. McDougall Dr Australia
Tony McMichael Professor Australia
Ben McNeil Queen Elizabeth II Research Fellow Australia
Nicolas Metzl Dr France
Elisabeth Michel Dr France
Guy Midgley Dr South Africa
Arthur J. Miller Research Oceanographer USA
Gunnar Myhre Senior Scientist Norway
Neville Nicholls Professor Australia
Richard D. Norris Professor and Curator, SIO Geological Collections USA
Daniel Olago Dr. Senior Lecturer University of Nairobi Kenya
Michael Oppenheimer Professor USA
Bette Otto-Bliesner Senior Scientist USA
Jonathon Overpeck Director Institute for the Study of Planet Earth USA
Didier Paillard Dr France
Wm. Richard Peltier University Professor of Physics Canada
Andy Pitman Professor Australia
Serge Planton Senior Scientist France
Gian-Kasper Plattner Dr Switzerland
Jan Polcher Directeur de Recherche du CNRS France
Michael J. Prather Fred Kavli Professor USA
Stefan Rahmstorf Professor of Physics of the Oceans Germany
Philip Rasch Senior Scientist USA
Michael Raupach Dr Australia
Chris Reason Professor. Oceanography South Africa
James Renwick Science Leader, Climate Variability & Change New Zealand
Ulf Riebesell Professor Germany
Stephen R. Rintoul Dr Australia
Johan Rockström Associate Professor Sweden
Terry L. Root University Faculty, Senior Fellow USA
Lynn M. Russell Professor of Atmospheric Chemistry USA
Toshiro Saino Professor Japan
Christoph Schär Professor in Atmospheric Sciences, ETH Zurich Switzerland
John Schellnhuber Professor Germany
Gavin Schmidt Research Scientist, NASA GISS USA
Stephen H. Schneider Professor USA
Birgit Schneider Dr France
Michael Schulz Senior Scientist France
Richard Seager Senior Research Scientist USA
Jeffrey P. Severinghaus Professor of Geosciences USA
Drew Shindell Senior Scientist and Lecturer USA
W James Shuttleworth Professor. Director NSF SAHRA Center USA
Murugesu Sivapalan Professor USA
John P. Smol Professor Canada
Olga Solomina Dr Russia
Richard Somerville Professor USA
Will Steffen Professor Australia
Thomas Stocker Professor Switzerland
Kristof Sturm Associate Professor Sweden
John Sulston Dr United Kingdom
Didier Swingedouw Dr France
Lynne D. Talley Professor USA
Karl E. Taylor Dr USA
Fichefet Thierry Professor Belgium
Helmuth Thomas Associate Professor. Canada Reseach Chair Canada
Jerry Tjiputra Dr Indonesia
Kevin Trenberth Dr. Head, Climate Analysis Section USA
Peter A. Troch Professor USA
Carol Turley Dr United Kingdom
A.S Unnikrishnan Senior Scientist India
Francisco P. J. Valero Director Atmospheric Research Laboratory USA
Rob Van Dorland Dr The Netherlands
Ricardo Villalba Director IANIGLA Argentina
Martin Visbeck Professor Germany
Andrea Volbers Dr Norway
Thorsten Wagener Assistant Professor USA
John Wahr Professor USA
Warren M. Washington Senior Scientist USA
Bob Wasson Professor Australia
Andrew Watson Professor United Kingdom
Ian G. Watterson Dr Australia
Andrew Weaver Professor Canada
Peter J. Webster Professor USA
Ray F. Weiss Professor USA
James W.C. White Professor USA
Jürgen Willebrand Professor Emeritus Germany
Larry Winter Deputy Director NCAR USA
Carl Wunsch Professor of Physical Oceanography USA
Xubin Zeng Professor USA
Guang J. Zhang Research Meteorologist USA

The first response I found to this was issued the very next day, by the Royal Society of the United Kingdom:

Royal Society responds to scientists’ climate declaration

6 Dec 2007

In response to the 2007 Bali Climate Declaration by Scientists’ Sir John Houghton, a climate change advisor to the Royal Society, said:
“The Declaration emphasises the clear imperative coming from the science that we must take urgent action on climate change or face severe consequences. Although it sounds like a small rise, even a two degree increase in global temperatures will have severe effects on people, the environment and the economy. The political leaders at the UN climate conference in Bali must realise that there are very real global consequences if they fail to put the world on a path to cut emissions of green house gases quickly enough to make a difference.”

The text of the 2007 Bali Climate Declaration by Scientists’ can be seen here.

***

So there you have it, as posted by me over two weeks ago: the Declaration that is worth paying attention to, and responding to positively in thought, word and deed.

Funnily enough, also on the day after the Declaration was issued, this beginning of an appeal to present an alternative document signed by many scientists (er, ‘friends’?) to support an alternative view of reality (a possible attempt at counter-attack?) appeared on the web at FOX-like Canada Free Press:

Open Letter to the UN Secretary General Concerning Global Warming
Canada Free Press, Canada – 6 Dec 2007

Dear Friends,
We are writing to invite you to join us in endorsing the following open letter to the Secretary-General of the United Nations …

So it looks like the Declaration did strike a nerve. I wonder if it served to trigger the “400 Prominent Scientists Dispute” now doing the pre-Christmas rounds of blogoplane?

Incidentally, the original ten-page document sent to the UN and copied to heads of state of countries of the signatory persons, kindly reprinted here by the Science and Public Policy Institute (SPPI) as:

Open Letter to the Secretary-General of the United Nations
by 100 Prominent Scientists 13 December 2007

was subtitled:

by
100 Prominent Scientists
Dec. 13, 2007

:-|

Got that? 100 signed the letter and now 400 dispute man-made global warming claims. The 100 prominent scientists are a subset (along with another 60 from a previous list) of the 400. The names on the list of 100 are clear, while the 400 take some work to dig out of the post of the EPW Minority blog.

SPPI Reprint Open Letter to the Secretary-General of the United Nations by 100 Prominent Scientists 13 December 2007 page 1

Well, having been busy on our travels in preparation for Christmas, it’s good to find that The Rabett is nibbling at the 400, and The Stoat took the original 100 as seriously as they deserve. So it’s fair to say that both climate creatures are covering and uncovering the minority opinion and who holds it, in their own inimitable way.

No surprise that the Open Letter is being promoted by unhöflich Inhofe’s PR team as though it’s an official U.S. Senate document. No surprise that the 100 has grown to 400, and its the FOUR HUNDRED that is SHOUTED FROM THE ROOFTOPS. Send it during the UN Bali conference, and let it infect virally thereafter, like all good propaganda exercises. Ho-hum. Akshullee, if you use the google thingy, and ask it what it can find on:

‘U.S. Senate Report: Over 400 Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made Global Warming Claims in 2007′

it currently gives you these results:

Web Personalised Results 1 – 10 of about 104,000 for ‘U.S. Senate Report: Over 400 Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made Global Warming Claims in 2007′. (0.33 seconds)

News results Results 1 – 3 of 3 for US Senate Report Over 400 Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made. (0.05 seconds)

Blog SearchResults 1 – 10 of about 36 for ‘U.S. Senate Report: Over 400 Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made Global Warming Claims in 2007′. (0.17 seconds)

Which is, in itself, interesting: the propaganda machine is working overtime before Christmas, the news orgs are ignoring this to the best of their ability, as it is not news, and Blather is probably the best place for this, but FOX and Canada Free Press are a bit confused! Look:

US Senate Report: Over 400 Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made …
Canada Free Press, Canada – Dec 20, 2007
By EPW Blog Thursday, December 20, 2007 Over 400 prominent scientists from more than two dozen countries recently voiced significant objections to major …
US Senate Report: Over 400 Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made …
Blather (satire), Ireland -

Dec 20, 2007
Over 400 prominent scientists from more than two dozen countries recently voiced significant objections to major aspects of the so-called “consensus” on …

“LATEST NEWS” item on FoxNews.com front page linked not to news …
Media Matters for America, DC – Dec 21, 2007
The headline on the post to which the FoxNews.com headline linked states: “US Senate Report: Over 400 Prominent Scientists Disputed Man-Made Global Warming …

The usual suspect blogs are picking up on it, slowly.

  • As a Full U.S. Senate Report, I would have expected to have found this document available at least on the Senate website as a PDF. Nope.
  • As a Senate Committee Report, for the EPW, I would have expected to have found this document available at least on the Senate Majority website as a PDF. Nope.

No surprises in this case. How Inhofe gets away with these cloaking tactics, is not a surprise, but it is a disgrace.

So, I shall hold this latest Inhofe promo up as a great example to show students how it is that the organised contrarians develop materials and propaganda merchants push their wares: supported by quack doctors on the front lines ;-)

On a final note, by way of contrast, going back to the Declaration—the original 2007 Bali Climate Declaration by Scientists signed and advocated for by world-class experts acting in their own personal capacities as concerned and exceedingly well-informed citizens, we can see that few websites—apart from ClimateProgress, ClimateScienceWatch and Mason Inman—picked up on it at all and spent time cheering and supporting it. The Royal Society is the only national scientific body I found that actually published a statement of support for the Declaration, from a respected scientist, Sir John Houghton, who has more credibility on climate science topics than any combination of names on the minority list.

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